Polymarket Trader

bvfxj

0x917570c5e95d2c488468a61e222dd762bd3af56b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0.23
Realized PnL: $4.81
Win rate: 85.7%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 7
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Fed rate cut by September 18?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.31
Potential profit: $2.31
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.28
Potential profit: $2.28
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4% in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.82
Potential profit: $1.82
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $1.82
Potential profit: $1.59
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$0.77

No position

Will the number of federal employees decrease by 50,000-100,000 between December and June?

Ends Jul 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.79
Potential profit: $1.79
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.75
Potential profit: $1.75
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Draper position

US Open: De Minaur vs. Draper

Ends Sep 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

No position

Will Nate Silver correctly call the Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Liverpool wins the Premier League?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.93

Yes position

Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during July Press Conference?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

No position

Will OpenAI release an open source model before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

De Minaur position

US Open: De Minaur vs. Draper

Ends Sep 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?

No 55% 1.82 shares
Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?

Yes 57% 1.75 shares
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4% in 2025?

No 54.9% 1.82 shares
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during July Press Conference?

Yes 53% 1.89 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Yes 50% 2 shares
Will OpenAI release an open source model before July?

No 55% 1.82 shares
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 50,000-100,000 between December and June?

No 56% 1.79 shares
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?

No 43.3% 2.31 shares
Liverpool wins the Premier League?

Yes 51.7% 1.93 shares
Will Nate Silver correctly call the Presidential Election?

No 49% 2.04 shares
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Yes 43.9% 2.28 shares
US Open: De Minaur vs. Draper

Draper 47% 2.13 shares