Polymarket Trader

politics

0x917b3de3741bdec895670a718f9869f626f44df4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.11K
Realized PnL: $4.03K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 3
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200K
Potential profit: $200K
User PnL: -$400

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $393.75
Potential payout: $87.5K
Potential profit: $87.11K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$306.25

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.14K
Potential profit: $57.14K
User PnL: -$399.94

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $275
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $49.73K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$125

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $1.73K
Potential payout: $43.75K
Potential profit: $42.02K
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: $1.03K

Yes position

Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.52K
Potential profit: $8.52K
User PnL: -$3.58K

Yes position

Biden wins the Popular Vote?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.02K
Potential profit: $7.02K
User PnL: -$4K

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $1.36K
Potential payout: $4.69K
Potential profit: $3.33K
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: $523.1

Yes position

Transgender women be banned from the Olympics before Winter Games?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.68K
Potential profit: $4.68K
User PnL: -$689.99

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.12K
Potential profit: $2.12K
User PnL: -$1.04K

Maja Chwalinska position

Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$280

No position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.41K
Potential profit: $1.41K
User PnL: -$800

Senegal position

Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $354.38
Potential payout: $875
Potential profit: $520.63
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $4.38

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $751.22
Potential profit: $751.22
User PnL: -$593.46

Japan position

Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $344.83
Potential profit: $344.83
User PnL: -$100

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.76K

Yes position

Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1K

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $164.73

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance

Senegal 40% 875 shares
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance

Japan 29% 344.83 shares
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.4% 23,529.41 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 79% 751.22 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

No 56.5% 1,414.89 shares
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.7% 23,529.41 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.6% 43,750 shares
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.7% 57,142.86 shares
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.8% 50,000 shares
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 200,000 shares
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.8% 87,500 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.8% 4,691.4 shares