N
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $8.85
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $141.15
- Multiplier
- 16.95x
- User PnL
- -$69.65
Polymarket Trader
FernandoVII
0x91adb56d113fe26fd335058e7ccde92d55f71ee5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.98
- Realized PnL
- $1.45K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.13
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.88
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.48
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$8.4
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192.29
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.16
Y
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.84
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.14
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.79
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.18
Yes position
Bitcoin outperforms S&P 500 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.68
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $80
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.01
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.56
Yes position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.84
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.5
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.73
Yes position
Will MrBeast's latest video get 41 million or more views on week 1?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.21
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $33
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27
Yes position
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.43
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.77
Seahawks position
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.8
Yes position
Will the December 2025 FOMC decision result in a 25bp cut with >2 dissents?
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.25
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.03
Broncos position
Spread: Patriots (-4.5)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.36
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?Yes 1% 500 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?Yes 0.8% 150 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?Yes 35% 12.16 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?Yes 95% 69.75 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?No 5% 140 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?Yes 4.1% 144.84 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?Yes 28.1% 4.84 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?Yes 10% 149.99 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?No 70% 5 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?Yes 0.1% 200 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?No 55% 286.74 shares
- Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 0.6% 80.99 shares