Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $1.62
- Potential payout
- $38
- Potential profit
- $36.39
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Polymarket Trader
Davidscott
0x91b3fec440bf0bcb8cd4843abdca6541c63277d6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.75
- Realized PnL
- $13.83
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 22-28?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $38
- Potential profit
- $37.98
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $38
- Potential profit
- $37.94
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Y
Yes position
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $2.03
- Potential payout
- $38
- Potential profit
- $35.97
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Yes position
Will Iran reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $38
- Potential profit
- $37.94
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will XRP reach $3.00 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $32.94
- Potential profit
- $32.9
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.6%
- Current value
- $0.65
- Potential payout
- $24.93
- Potential profit
- $24.29
- Multiplier
- 38.46x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 June 22-28?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $0.22
- Potential payout
- $19.01
- Potential profit
- $18.79
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Yes position
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $0.22
- Potential payout
- $19.01
- Potential profit
- $18.79
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $50 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $19.01
- Potential profit
- $18.94
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.8%
- Current value
- $1.48
- Potential payout
- $19.01
- Potential profit
- $17.52
- Multiplier
- 12.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Y
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $1.14
- Potential payout
- $19.01
- Potential profit
- $17.87
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $0.35
- Potential payout
- $19.01
- Potential profit
- $18.65
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will Solana reach $120 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $18.96
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $0.22
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $18.78
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $0.43
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $18.57
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $0.52
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $18.48
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $0.86
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $18.15
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will João Fonseca be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.16
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $18.84
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Francisco Cerúndolo be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.18
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $18.82
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $18.97
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Fede position
World Cup Goal Contributions H2H: Valverde vs. Fernandes
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $18.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $18.91
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $0.26
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $18.74
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- $3.14
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- $1.69
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 June 22-28?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.8%
- Multiplier
- 14.81x
- User PnL
- $0.91
Y
Yes position
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.1%
- Multiplier
- 5.87x
- User PnL
- $0.89
Y
Yes position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $0.77
Yes position
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- $0.74
Yes position
Will Cape Verde reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.8%
- Multiplier
- 14.71x
- User PnL
- $0.48
Yes position
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.8%
- Multiplier
- 14.81x
- User PnL
- $0.46
Yes position
Will Solana reach $90 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Multiplier
- 20.62x
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Multiplier
- 27.03x
- User PnL
- $0.37
Y
Yes position
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.2%
- Multiplier
- 13.89x
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- $0.29
Y
Yes position
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.3%
- Multiplier
- 8.85x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Multiplier
- 20.41x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?No 99.9% 85.98 shares
- Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?No 99.9% 85.89 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No 99.9% 85.81 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?No 98.3% 87.11 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?No 99.9% 33.35 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $5,000 on October 12?No 99.9% 33.32 shares
- Will Solana dip to $140 September 29-October 5?No 99.9% 33.28 shares
- Will Solana reach $350 in September?No 99.9% 33.25 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $128,000 on September 25?No 99.9% 33.22 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by February 28, 2025?No 99.6% 5 shares
- Bitcoin above $105,000 on February 7?No 99.8% 32 shares
- Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes 0.7% 6 shares