Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.39K
- Potential profit
- $14.39K
- User PnL
- -$42.99
Polymarket Trader
Paradisesun
0x91bab46f7dbf0f8dbbd197ca63347686304fc285
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $69.47
- Realized PnL
- $5.51K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Younes Laaroussi position
Abidjan 2: Niels Visker vs Younes Laaroussi
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.6K
- Potential profit
- $11.6K
- User PnL
- -$110
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Oscar Weightman position
Abidjan 2: Gauthier Onclin vs Oscar Weightman
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.01K
- Potential profit
- $2.01K
- User PnL
- -$138.1
Yes position
Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.81K
- Potential profit
- $1.81K
- User PnL
- -$28
Yes position
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $69.47
- Potential payout
- $1.49K
- Potential profit
- $1.42K
- Multiplier
- 21.51x
- User PnL
- -$453.03
Suns position
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Suns vs. Thunder
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.47K
- Potential profit
- $1.47K
- User PnL
- -$9.7
Yes position
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$5
Matthew Dellavedova position
Jiujiang: Matthew Dellavedova vs Liam Broady
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- User PnL
- -$120
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $993.9
- Potential profit
- $993.9
- User PnL
- -$13
Yes position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-03-31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $811.33
- Potential profit
- $811.33
- User PnL
- -$97.36
No position
Will Trump say "Transgender" at The Villages on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $664.91
- Potential profit
- $664.91
- User PnL
- -$300
Marin Cilic position
Miami Open: Marin Cilic vs Alexander Zverev
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $618.74
- Potential profit
- $618.74
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $592.18
- Potential profit
- $592.18
- User PnL
- -$10
FURIA fe position
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs FURIA fe (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stage
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $560.31
- Potential profit
- $560.31
- User PnL
- -$45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$30
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$5
Daniil Medvedev position
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$20
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $448.16
- Potential profit
- $448.16
- User PnL
- -$120
No position
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Iran" this week?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $404
- Potential profit
- $404
- User PnL
- -$19.24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $765.23
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $650.52
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $605.15
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $575
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $452.76
Hailey Baptiste position
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $430.25
Mathys Erhard position
Shymkent 2: Mathys Erhard vs Andrej Nedic
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $257.38
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196.87
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.95
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.28
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.7
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.47
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.13
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.74
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.91
Aryna Sabalenka position
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $59.77
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ebola case in the US by June 30?Yes 34% 811.59 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes 14% 2,008.28 shares
- Ebola case in the US by June 30?Yes 33% 242.42 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes 69% 579.71 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes 70% 1,428.57 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No 25.6% 5,813.2 shares
- Ebola case in the US by June 30?Yes 37.8% 440.01 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETDown 20% 500 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETUp 42% 59.52 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETUp 46% 164.14 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETUp 15.2% 164.15 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETDown 25.8% 388.25 shares