No position
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $377.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $122.5
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $175.45
Polymarket Trader
lpratas
0x91c5ceebcad4b6cf17232d566cd3baf4402e0596
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $413.95
- Realized PnL
- $902.05
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.2%
- Current value
- $36.45
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $263.55
- Multiplier
- 8.23x
- User PnL
- -$14.35
Yes position
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $344.51
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $191.7
No position
Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.81
Yes position
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $65.16
No position
Will Leavitt say "Epstein" or "Hoax" during the next White House press briefing?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.49
No position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.88
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.69
No position
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.99
Yes position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $16.33
Yes position
Will Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.02
Yes position
Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.43
Yes position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.3
Yes position
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 16 and 19 on April 12, 2026?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.41
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $3.67
Yes position
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
Yes position
Will George Santos attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.34
No position
Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.31
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Will the DHS shutdown last 90 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer say "NHS" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Dec 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?Yes 5.5% 100 shares
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 16.9% 300 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No 40% 115 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No 41% 5 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No 41% 40 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No 41% 40 shares
- Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?Yes 22% 191.88 shares
- OpenAI IPO before 2027?Yes 71% 20.61 shares
- Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?Yes 21% 72.28 shares
- Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?Yes 20% 31.02 shares
- Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?Yes 20% 25 shares
- Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?Yes 18% 25.66 shares