No position
Tria FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$2
Polymarket Trader
0x91d3D9ab5C8c865cdd5f68e89535df6e40346a7D-1728199021965
@jiao0106
0x91d3d9ab5c8c865cdd5f68e89535df6e40346a7d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $232.18
- Realized PnL
- $433.62
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $232.18
- Potential payout
- $233
- Potential profit
- $0.82
- User PnL
- $4.31
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $385
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.4
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.4
Yes position
Liverpool wins the Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.92
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.74
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.26
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.94
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Daniel Chapo win the Mozambican presidential election?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$4.42
Yes position
Opinion FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$42.52
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?No 90% 5 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?No 99.2% 5 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?No 86% 5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 95.6% 240 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?No 99.4% 38.27 shares
- Tria FDV above $50M one day after launch?No 0.2% 1,000 shares
- Opinion FDV above $4B one day after launch?Yes 3.9% 1,000 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes 56% 7,700 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No 99.7% 4,416 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No 99.6% 4,421 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No 99.7% 4,421 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?No 3.1% 132.6 shares