Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $75.89
- Potential payout
- $555.94
- Potential profit
- $480.05
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$10.28
Polymarket Trader
0x91e2...2e77
0x91e2d0eb454626806c733999019bc2afcba72e77
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $82.09
- Realized PnL
- $67.49
- Win rate
- 37.5%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Current value
- $6.2
- Potential payout
- $94
- Potential profit
- $87.8
- Multiplier
- 15.15x
- User PnL
- -$21.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.43
Yes position
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.94
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.68
Yes position
Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top US Netflix show this week?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7
No position
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.68
Yes position
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.52
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes 29% 94 shares
- Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes 0.8% 125 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 15.5% 555.94 shares
- Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top US Netflix show this week?Yes 1.4% 511.91 shares
- Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?No 0.1% 4,680 shares
- Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 44.3% 87.85 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes 58.7% 120 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 18% 38.88 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes 17.5% 120 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 18% 38.89 shares
- Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes 0.3% 161.03 shares
- Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?No 0.3% 106.6 shares