Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $19.56
- Potential payout
- $21.28
- Potential profit
- $1.71
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Polymarket Trader
Moonscar
0x92008fa2462853047607a4eb7e76a5898ec31b82
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $19.56
- Realized PnL
- $3
- Win rate
- 85.7%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.11
- Potential profit
- $16.11
- User PnL
- -$4.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.89
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will there be at least 800 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,600 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 94% 21.28 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 83% 22.89 shares
- Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on June 30?No 97.2% 19.83 shares
- Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on June 30?No 95.8% 19.83 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 95% 20.83 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 96% 20.83 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 99% 20.22 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 98.9% 20.22 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?Yes 80.7% 24.75 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?Yes 92.9% 24.76 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 94% 24.46 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 94% 24.47 shares