Polymarket Trader

0x920105a5FA761Ea265AD57dD51eCCcDE1c32b16f-1777254659626

0x920105a5fa761ea265ad57dd51ecccde1c32b16f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $99.14
Realized PnL: $199.87
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112
Potential profit: $112
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$26.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $2.54
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $97.46
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$6.56

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$47.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 22.2%
Current value: $22.15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $77.85
Multiplier: 4.51x
User PnL: -$11.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$33.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$6.16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $74.45
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $25.55
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $25.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$36.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99
Potential profit: $99
User PnL: -$30.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9PM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.43
Potential profit: $15.43
User PnL: -$15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11PM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.77

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.57

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9PM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1AM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2AM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9PM ET

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4AM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4AM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10PM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2AM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11PM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 9.1% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 48.6% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 33.2% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1AM ET

Up 98% 21.43 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 7?

Yes 99.9% 25.03 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 5?

No 99.7% 23.07 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10PM ET

Down 99.5% 16.08 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 4?

Yes 99.3% 21.15 shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 3?

Yes 99.9% 25.03 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1AM ET

Up 99.8% 13.03 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2AM ET

Down 99% 12.12 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

No 96.1% 14.57 shares