Polymarket Trader

0x9204...5c05

0x9204916867ee23ebf8b53ed35b6587accb215c05

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $13.19K
Realized PnL: $3K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $415.38
Potential payout: $17.68K
Potential profit: $17.26K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$34.61

Yes position

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $64.78
Potential payout: $3.03K
Potential profit: $2.96K
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$35.22

No position

Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $2.81K
Potential payout: $2.86K
Potential profit: $53
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $141.34

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.3%
Current value: $536.76
Potential payout: $2.79K
Potential profit: $2.25K
Multiplier: 5.19x
User PnL: $136.76

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $1.87K
Potential payout: $2.05K
Potential profit: $173.96
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $42.62

Yes position

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

Ends Sep 6, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $1.79K
Potential payout: $1.86K
Potential profit: $77.4
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $37.56

No position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $1.53K
Potential payout: $1.72K
Potential profit: $198.28
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $25.86

No position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $984.07
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $115.45
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$15.93

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 34.2%
Current value: $359.47
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $693.16
Multiplier: 2.93x
User PnL: $159.47

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $1.04K
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $13.16
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $39.47

No position

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $826.85
Potential payout: $865.81
Potential profit: $38.96
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $12.99

Yes position

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $312.22
Potential payout: $397.73
Potential profit: $85.51
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$37.78

No position

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.7%
Current value: $300.11
Potential payout: $320.29
Potential profit: $20.18
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $45.83
Potential payout: $119.05
Potential profit: $73.21
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$4.17

No position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 87.8%
Current value: $101.68
Potential payout: $115.87
Potential profit: $14.19
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $1.68

No position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 93.7%
Current value: $101.96
Potential payout: $108.81
Potential profit: $6.86
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $1.96

No position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 93.8%
Current value: $99.21
Potential payout: $105.82
Potential profit: $6.61
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.79

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $413.7

No position

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $398.81

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $377.13

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $251.81

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $218.57

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $189.3

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $183.22

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162.79

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.79

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.48

No position

Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.8

Yes position

Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.14

No position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.17

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.65

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.56

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.6%
Multiplier: 39.22x
User PnL: $38.1

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.97

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.69

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.67

No position

Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.02

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.26

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.43

No position

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by January 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.61

No position

Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.17

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.9% 4,761.9 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.1% 800 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 42% 119.05 shares
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

No 90.9% 1,099.52 shares
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

No 87% 1,724.14 shares
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?

No 93.7% 320.29 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 95.6% 104.6 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 91.9% 108.81 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 94.5% 105.82 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 86.3% 115.87 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 14.8% 675.68 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.5% 3,333.33 shares