Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $208.61
- Potential payout
- $259.15
- Potential profit
- $50.53
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$12.25
Polymarket Trader
lisalee0513
@tfhal32273971
0x9205a67d1f228c5c31da3d1c4a35bb8f1c153444
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $358.63
- Realized PnL
- -$219.76
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $150.02
- Potential payout
- $163.95
- Potential profit
- $13.94
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $10.02
Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $89.13
- Potential profit
- $89.13
- User PnL
- -$68.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $26.37
Gold position
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.28
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 13?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.37
$2k position
Will Ethereum hit $2k or $3k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.08
No position
Will Zhipu Robotics have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.03
Yes position
Will Eileen Gu (CHN) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69
Yes position
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.52
Yes position
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75
Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.97
No position
Will Booster Robotics have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.71
Yes position
Will China's annual inflation increase by ≥0.7% in December?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
Yes position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.7
Yes position
Will Trump say "Tariff" 3+ times during Xi events on October 29?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$13.95
Yes position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25.95
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$94.24
No position
Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$133
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 94.4% 417.7 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?No 86% 63.95 shares
- Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?Yes 57% 8.77 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?No 85% 100 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 96.8% 100 shares
- Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?Yes 59% 10 shares
- Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes 11% 134.99 shares
- Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes 66% 35 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 89.2% 155 shares
- Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes 95% 8.56 shares
- Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes 95% 27.24 shares
- Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes 94% 5.34 shares