No position
Will Workday (WDAY) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.16K
- Potential profit
- $2.16K
- User PnL
- -$1.99K
Polymarket Trader
as81119
0x920e7e3c5cf3d1e901c1f6ea4b3742642ecf001e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.36K
- Realized PnL
- $272.36
- Win rate
- 58.8%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $1.36K
- Potential payout
- $1.71K
- Potential profit
- $351.2
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $59.96
Yes position
Will MEXC be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.47K
- Potential profit
- $1.47K
- User PnL
- -$1.47
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $89.88
- Potential profit
- $89.88
- User PnL
- -$18.93
Yes position
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.4
- Potential profit
- $20.4
- User PnL
- -$1.67
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $5.88
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.65
- Potential profit
- $4.65
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $4.07
- Potential profit
- $4.02
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Yes position
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.81
- Potential profit
- $2.81
- User PnL
- -$0.87
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $0.87
- Potential payout
- $2.81
- Potential profit
- $1.94
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $650.96
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $318.36
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 10?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.98
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.28
Yes position
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.58
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.94
Yes position
Will Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
Yes position
Will Zoom Communications (ZM) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will Zoom Communications (ZM) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.32
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.18
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.78
Yes position
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$389.76
Yes position
Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$506.84
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 82.3% 2.6 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 76% 1,315.79 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 76% 394.74 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 76.8% 2.6 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 76% 2.63 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Yes 25.1% 4.07 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 47% 2.81 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?Yes 21.3% 44.94 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?Yes 20.8% 44.94 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes 72.1% 2,000.62 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes 73% 934 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes 75% 65.79 shares