Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $52.5
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $197.5
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Polymarket Trader
eurepublic
0x9215b2d8e0a056827e00c5899e99d1a681057ea4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $52.5
- Realized PnL
- $1.99K
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $87.72
- Potential profit
- $87.72
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.79
- Potential profit
- $33.79
- User PnL
- -$12.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $735.48
Yes position
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $616.47
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $260.2
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.68
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.56
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.87
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.37
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.09
Yes position
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.62
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.43
Yes position
NATO article 5 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $17.26
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.84
Yes position
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.75
Yes position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.01
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- $4.38
Yes position
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.88
Yes position
Will Iran strike Jordan in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sebastian Burduja?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Cătălin Predoiu?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Yes 20% 250 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?No 21% 63.79 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?No 24% 63.79 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?No 39.2% 127.57 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?No 68.3% 29.28 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes 35% 33.78 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes 96.9% 130.12 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Yes 57% 87.72 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes 37% 67.57 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?No 99.9% 160.24 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No 5.2% 134.9 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 39.1% 135.88 shares