Polymarket Trader

e5c0eeEF61a5E65eC63Fa744D51F3b

0x921d8ed282d83978f4d5e12be45403effebcefb8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.77K
Realized PnL: $6.07K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.67K
Potential payout: $2.67K
Potential profit: $1.33
User PnL: $29.67

Yes position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.6%
Current value: $131
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.87K
Multiplier: 15.27x
User PnL: $3

No position

Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.59K
Potential profit: $1.59K
User PnL: -$141.47

Yes position

Will Philadelphia 76ers advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800.01
Potential profit: $800.01
User PnL: -$138

No position

Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $636.34
Potential payout: $757.54
Potential profit: $121.21
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: -$21.06

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $699.88
Potential profit: $699.88
User PnL: -$3.5

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $497.76
Potential payout: $500.01
Potential profit: $2.25
User PnL: $7.35

Yes position

Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $415.36
Potential profit: $415.36
User PnL: -$17.23

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $9.63
Potential payout: $393.07
Potential profit: $383.44
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $298.65
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $1.35
User PnL: $13.65

Yes position

Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.96
Potential profit: $299.96
User PnL: -$190.97

No position

Will Drake have a #1 hit in the US in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $166
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $34
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $6

No position

Will Kanye release Bully Deluxe by June 19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$130

Anthropic + OpenAI position

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Meta - higher valuation on June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $110.23
Potential payout: $113.64
Potential profit: $3.41
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $98.76
Potential payout: $100.11
Potential profit: $1.35
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $6.67

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $100.02
Potential profit: $98.97
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$1.69

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$90

Yes position

Will Evan Bouchard win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$13

No position

Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $65.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $34.5
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

Messi position

World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $92
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $8
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.86K

Yes position

Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $350.99

Yes position

Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Maurice 'Rocket' Richard Trophy?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $269.92

Yes position

Will Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $207.99

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.52

No position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.51

Yes position

Will Ausar Thompson lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.82

Rockets position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $105.49

Yes position

Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.42

Yes position

Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.11

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.91

No position

Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.27

Yes position

Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $52.81

Yes position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $50.4

Over 5.5 position

NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Spurs Total Games O/U 5.5

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 12.5%
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $50

No position

Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.13

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.3%
Multiplier: 16.00x
User PnL: $47.34

No position

Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.81

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42

No position

Will Cole Caufield win the 2025–2026 NHL Maurice 'Rocket' Richard Trophy?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.56

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38

Yes position

Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37

Yes position

Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $36.12

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?

No 87.9% 500 shares
Will Drake have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

No 99.1% 95 shares
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?

No 86.9% 57.54 shares
Will Drake have a #1 hit in the US in June?

No 80% 200 shares
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?

No 87.3% 56.42 shares
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Meta - higher valuation on June 30?

Anthropic + OpenAI 96.8% 113.64 shares
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?

No 88.6% 56.43 shares
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?

Yes 2% 37.99 shares
Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0010 by December 31, 2026?

No 47% 4.28 shares
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Yes 87% 33.56 shares
NBA Finals: Any Player to Record a Triple-Double?

No 99.9% 14 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?

Yes 99.1% 16 shares