No position
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?
Ends Jun 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01
Polymarket Trader
Keaton420
0x9222798c49b9706bb7959774add8c9cccac7bf4f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $4.74
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $0.87
Yes position
Will Karl-Anthony Towns Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Multiplier
- 28.17x
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will Daria Kasatkina win the 2025 French Open?
Ends Jun 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?
Ends Jun 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $0.87
Yes position
Will Karl-Anthony Towns Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Multiplier
- 28.17x
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will Daria Kasatkina win the 2025 French Open?
Ends Jun 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will the candidate from the New Reform Party win the South Korean Presidential Election
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Jack Draper win Wimbledon 2025?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Lee Jae-myung win 35-40% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Sam Altman buy TikTok?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 5.5% 30 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Yes 4.4% 47 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 44% 97 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 44% 106 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No 72% 64 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No 72% 64 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 67% 63 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 67% 63 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No 74% 31 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 53% 87 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 9% 94 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 9% 94 shares