No position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $19
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $21
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
0x9231D9Db379A96d8a107a0A0cf7a0d3693886871-1781578840855
0x9231d9db379a96d8a107a0a0cf7a0d3693886871
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $48.75
- Realized PnL
- $188.98
- Win rate
- 16.7%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 89.6%
- Current value
- $29.75
- Potential payout
- $33.22
- Potential profit
- $3.47
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $9.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.45
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.49
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.13
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.48
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.39
Yes position
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.53
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.65
Yes position
Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No 60.2% 33.22 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No 50% 40 shares
- Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?Yes 32% 62.5 shares
- Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?Yes 18% 52.63 shares
- Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?Yes 19% 52.63 shares
- Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?Yes 27% 148.15 shares
- Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?Yes 10% 50 shares
- Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?Yes 22% 90.91 shares
- Will England win on 2026-06-27?Yes 72% 176.47 shares
- Will England win on 2026-06-27?Yes 85% 176.47 shares
- Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?Yes 23% 43.48 shares
- Will New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw?Yes 11% 30.41 shares