Polymarket Trader

firstrun

@moldy_nuts

0x923539425dcff18b296d7ca283872daad5c53fbd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $67.03
Realized PnL: $2.17K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$58

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$52

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$7

T1 position

LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $232.56
Potential profit: $232.56
User PnL: -$200

Dream position

Fever vs. Dream

Ends Sep 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $205.48
Potential profit: $205.48
User PnL: -$150

Aurora position

Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $153.8
Potential profit: $153.8
User PnL: -$120

EVOS position

Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Bigetron by Vitality vs EVOS - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.44
Potential profit: $147.44
User PnL: -$144.86

Gen.G position

LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $141.42
Potential profit: $141.42
User PnL: -$100

Ilia Topuria position

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $126.57
Potential profit: $126.57
User PnL: -$99.99

Tundra Esports position

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112.82
Potential profit: $112.82
User PnL: -$100

Ninjas in Pyjamas position

Rainbow Six Siege: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team Liquid (BO1) - South America League Stage 1 Group Stage

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107
Potential profit: $107
User PnL: -$77

Daniil Medvedev position

Roland Garros ATP: Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedev

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.37
Potential profit: $105.37
User PnL: -$100

Karmine Corp position

LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$99

Yes position

Will Fnatic win the 2025 Valorant Esports World Cup Tournament?

Ends Jul 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85.83
Potential profit: $85.83
User PnL: -$61.76

OpTic Texas position

Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.13
Potential profit: $78.13
User PnL: -$50

Team Liquid position

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78
Potential profit: $78
User PnL: -$64.74

BetBoom Team position

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.46
Potential profit: $72.46
User PnL: -$50

Yellow Submarine position

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$50

Over position

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.41
Potential profit: $70.41
User PnL: -$49.99

Team Spirit position

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$50.4

Team Spirit position

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.8
Potential profit: $67.8
User PnL: -$40

No position

Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $67.03
Potential payout: $67.06
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $10.03

BetBoom Team position

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.66
Potential profit: $66.66
User PnL: -$50

L1ga Team position

Dota 2: Power Rangers vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.93
Potential profit: $65.93
User PnL: -$60

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Rebels Gaming position

Rainbow Six Siege: Falcons Esport vs Rebels Gaming (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage 1 Group Stage

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.93

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Multiplier: 2.57x
User PnL: $158

Hurricanes position

Canadiens vs. Hurricanes

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.62

Geekay Esports position

Rainbow Six Siege: Geekay Esports vs Falcons Esport (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage 1 Group Stage

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.08

Falcons Esport position

Rainbow Six Siege: Falcons Esport vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - Europe MENA League Stage 1 Playoffs

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.7

OpTic Texas position

Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs OpTic Texas (BO7) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.61

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.6%
Multiplier: 4.64x
User PnL: $112

Wildcard Gaming position

Rainbow Six Siege: M80 vs Wildcard Gaming (BO1) - North America League Stage 1 Group Stage

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.03

DarkZero Esports position

Rainbow Six Siege: Spacestation Gaming vs DarkZero Esports (BO1) - North America League Stage 1 Group Stage

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.21

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.2%
Multiplier: 4.73x
User PnL: $89

Wildcard Gaming position

Rainbow Six Siege: DarkZero Esports vs Wildcard Gaming (BO1) - North America League Stage 1 Group Stage

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.93

Team Spirit position

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.26

Los Angeles Thieves position

Call of Duty: FaZe Vegas vs Los Angeles Thieves (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.08

Twisted Minds position

Rainbow Six Siege: Shifters vs Twisted Minds (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage 1 Group Stage

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75

Los Angeles Thieves position

Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Los Angeles Thieves (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.96

No position

Kash Patel out by April 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.19

Bigetron by Vitality position

Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO7) - MPL Indonesia Playoffs

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.81

Thunder position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.42

Alexander Zverev position

Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.57

Brendan Allen position

UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.01

Yes position

Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $53.64

LGD Gaming position

Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PlayTime (BO5) - The International South America Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.87

Aurora position

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.71

Aces position

Storm vs. Aces

Ends Sep 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?

No 85% 67.06 shares
Pozoblanco: Akira Santillan vs Alejandro Lopez

Akira Santillan 99.9% 57 shares
NBA Summer League: New York Knicks vs. Detroit Pistons

New York Knicks 99.9% 57.21 shares
NBA Summer League: New York Knicks vs. Detroit Pistons

New York Knicks 94.4% 57.21 shares
Rainbow Six Siege: Fnatic vs Geekay Esports (BO3) - Europe MENA League Stage 1 Playoffs

Geekay Esports 99.9% 1,029.6 shares
Rainbow Six Siege: Fnatic vs Geekay Esports - Game 2 Winner

Geekay Esports 99.5% 254.18 shares
Rainbow Six Siege: Fnatic vs Geekay Esports - Game 2 Winner

Geekay Esports 87% 71.93 shares
Rainbow Six Siege: Fnatic vs Geekay Esports (BO3) - Europe MENA League Stage 1 Playoffs

Geekay Esports 89% 10 shares
Rainbow Six Siege: Fnatic vs Geekay Esports - Game 1 Winner

Geekay Esports 99% 97.4 shares
Rainbow Six Siege: Falcons Esport vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - Europe MENA League Stage 1 Playoffs

Falcons Esport 99.9% 1,335 shares
Rainbow Six Siege: Falcons Esport vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - Europe MENA League Stage 1 Playoffs

Falcons Esport 99% 120 shares
Rainbow Six Siege: Falcons Esport vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - Europe MENA League Stage 1 Playoffs

Falcons Esport 89.6% 1,200 shares