wangdao

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12K
Potential profit: $12K
User PnL: -$120

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $61.06
Potential payout: $961.54
Potential profit: $900.48
Multiplier: 15.75x
User PnL: $11.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $303.05
Potential profit: $303.05
User PnL: -$220

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $49.87
Potential payout: $252.53
Potential profit: $202.65
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: -$0.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$200

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$10

Over position

Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 4.5

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $156.25
Potential profit: $156.25
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $24.28
Potential payout: $131.25
Potential profit: $106.97
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$0.72

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $50.57
Potential payout: $113.64
Potential profit: $63.07
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $0.57

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $3.3
Potential payout: $75.97
Potential profit: $72.68
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: -$5.7

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $65.91
Potential profit: $64.65
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: -$7.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $55
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Austria reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $15.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $34.25
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $4.73
Potential payout: $30.48
Potential profit: $25.76
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$5.27

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.41
Potential payout: $27.27
Potential profit: $26.86
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$2.59

Down position

XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.43
Potential profit: $21.43
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.35
Potential profit: $19.35
User PnL: -$3.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $18.18
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $18.18
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.33

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.32

Down position

Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.97

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.96

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.16

Over position

Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.16

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.08

Up position

XRP Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.04

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.46

Over position

Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.22

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.39

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.39

Up position

XRP Up or Down - June 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.7

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.35

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET