No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $20.54K
- Potential payout
- $22.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.56K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $131.19
Polymarket Trader
pabrikduit
0x924459f9dbdac960edfc02ac45e0db92df2f4b6e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $48.54K
- Realized PnL
- $15.81K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $847.18
- Potential payout
- $14.73K
- Potential profit
- $13.89K
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- $147.4
No position
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $9.3K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $700
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $689.39
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $7.78K
- Potential payout
- $9.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.27K
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $2.15K
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $343.22
- Potential payout
- $6.54K
- Potential profit
- $6.19K
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- -$156.78
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.3%
- Current value
- $847.22
- Potential payout
- $5.56K
- Potential profit
- $4.71K
- Multiplier
- 6.56x
- User PnL
- $347.23
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $272.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.73K
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$227.5
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $3.66K
- Potential payout
- $4.49K
- Potential profit
- $831.55
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $1.63K
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $648.77
- Potential payout
- $3.34K
- Potential profit
- $2.69K
- Multiplier
- 5.14x
- User PnL
- $148.77
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.6%
- Current value
- $351.67
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $2.98K
- Multiplier
- 9.48x
- User PnL
- -$148.33
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $981
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $819
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$205.67
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$963
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $934.04
- Potential payout
- $1.34K
- Potential profit
- $410.09
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$55.28
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.7%
- Current value
- $226.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $773.5
- Multiplier
- 4.42x
- User PnL
- -$139.5
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $997.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $2.5
- User PnL
- $57.5
Yes position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $999.99
- User PnL
- -$400
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.98
- Potential profit
- $999.98
- User PnL
- -$834.98
Yes position
Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $531.77
- Potential profit
- $531.77
- User PnL
- -$111.04
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $497.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $2.75
- User PnL
- $32.25
Yes position
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $309.99
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $190
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- -$25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.53K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27K
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
No position
Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $947.44
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $946.47
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $890
No position
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $653.21
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $600.01
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $570
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $532.06
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $531.93
Yes position
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $512.14
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $495.65
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $475
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $460
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $425.01
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $411.4
No position
Will Spain win on 2025-11-18?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $400
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $366.55
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $350
No position
Ethereum all time high by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $346.38
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $338.27
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $310.32
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $310
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 64.7% 416.72 shares
- Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes 92% 500 shares
- Spurs vs. KnicksSpurs 46% 2,100 shares
- Spurs vs. KnicksSpurs 47% 2,127.66 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?No 86% 500 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?No 84.7% 15 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?No 84.6% 15.35 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 93% 500 shares
- Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 67% 499.99 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.1% 500 shares
- Knicks vs. SpursSpurs 65% 500 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 64.2% 1,500 shares