Polymarket Trader

laoyu007

0x925a351629277600302cdbfc749018c91ffaf115

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $440.76
Realized PnL: $561.9
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $282.57
Potential payout: $635
Potential profit: $352.42
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$181.17

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $28.72
Potential payout: $179.48
Potential profit: $150.77
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$32.96

No position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $85.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $14.5
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $23.82
Potential payout: $74.43
Potential profit: $50.61
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: $1.9

Yes position

Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $20.15
Potential payout: $26.34
Potential profit: $6.19
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $3.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 83%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $84.82

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.9

No position

Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.48

No position

Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.84

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $40

Yes position

StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 18.5%
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $34.76

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.5

No position

Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.12

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24

Yes position

EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.87

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: $14.44

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $12.45

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $11.5

No position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $10.88

Yes position

EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.25

No position

EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.76

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.5

Yes position

Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.62

Yes position

Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 16.5%
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $6.09

No position

EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.78

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.51

Yes position

Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5

No position

Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $3.32

No position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $2.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Up 81% 100 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 99.9% 200 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 37.6% 100 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11% 4,504.5 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.1% 4,504.5 shares
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Yes 59% 125 shares
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 82% 54.34 shares
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 80% 53.59 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 86% 150 shares
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Yes 11% 12 shares
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Yes 88% 50 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 84.2% 249.98 shares