Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $149.84
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $883.56
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$232.52
Polymarket Trader
TradingWizKid
0x92683e59f1fe5a583a6c32faf7bec85f0971ae16
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $149.84
- Realized PnL
- -$60.99
- Win rate
- 38.5%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $454.55
- Potential profit
- $454.55
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$20.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.5
No position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.09
No position
50% copper tariff in effect by August 1?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.64
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.19
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.33
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.6
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$22
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$35.13
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$43.9
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$84.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 37% 1,033.41 shares
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes 22% 454.55 shares
- 50% copper tariff in effect by August 1?No 43% 99.99 shares
- Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes 11% 50 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes 41% 50 shares
- Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?No 56% 300 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes 22% 166.66 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes 1.4% 1,428.57 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes 83% 48.19 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes 17% 235.29 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Yes 43% 100 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes 20% 422.71 shares