justagrosshopper

Implied probability: 11.1%
Current value: $55.25
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $444.74
Multiplier: 9.05x
User PnL: -$27.95

Yes position

Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $280
Potential profit: $280
User PnL: -$34.04

No position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $68.98
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $131.02
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $0.48

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $20.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $179.5
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 20.9%
Current value: $41.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $158.3
Multiplier: 4.80x
User PnL: $23.7

Yes position

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $15.27
Potential payout: $179.65
Potential profit: $164.38
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$2.69

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$54.3

No position

Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $65.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $34.5
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $13.1

Gen.G position

LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.76
Potential profit: $58.76
User PnL: -$40.93

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 59 and 60 million views on day 5?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.74
Potential profit: $53.74
User PnL: -$4.05

Yes position

Will Germany be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $46.25
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$2.75

Yes position

Will Netherlands be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $45.5
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$1.5

Uzbekistan position

Spread: Portugal (-2.5)

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$27.5

T1 position

Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5)

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$18

Gen.G position

Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5)

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$13

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 15, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.99
User PnL: -$7

No position

Will Frenkie de Jong score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $36.9
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $8.1
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $8.55

Yes position

Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38
Potential profit: $38
User PnL: -$4.94

Anyones Legend position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$25.5

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28
Potential profit: $28
User PnL: -$5.04

Yes position

Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28
Potential profit: $28
User PnL: -$5.04

Yes position

Will Switzerland be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.29
Potential payout: $26.66
Potential profit: $26.37
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$2.11

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.09
Potential profit: $26.09
User PnL: -$4.7

Spurs position

Spread: Spurs (-1.5)

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.45
Potential profit: $24.45
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.29

No position

Will Malaga CF achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $57.2

Yes position

Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.86

Yes position

Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.91

No position

Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.15

No position

Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.34

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.02

Top Esports position

LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.5

Thailand position

Spread: China PR (-1.5)

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.54

Under position

Games Total: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

No position

Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.98

Yes position

Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.85

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.6

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.4

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?