Yes position
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $69.28
- Potential payout
- $2.23K
- Potential profit
- $2.17K
- Multiplier
- 32.26x
- User PnL
- $9.28
Polymarket Trader
RandomWalker3
0x9276d9f0044737c987f166c5dcb2d3f615dc37a3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.59K
- Realized PnL
- $69.02
- Win rate
- 30.8%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $29.29
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- $19.29
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.4%
- Current value
- $46.03
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- Multiplier
- 22.73x
- User PnL
- -$78.97
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.1%
- Current value
- $111.24
- Potential payout
- $849.19
- Potential profit
- $737.95
- Multiplier
- 7.63x
- User PnL
- -$88.76
Yes position
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $3.75
- Potential payout
- $833.33
- Potential profit
- $829.58
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Yes position
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $78.47
- Potential payout
- $541.19
- Potential profit
- $462.71
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$13.53
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.9%
- Current value
- $102.79
- Potential payout
- $430.98
- Potential profit
- $328.19
- Multiplier
- 4.19x
- User PnL
- $2.79
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $100.86
- Potential payout
- $429.18
- Potential profit
- $328.33
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $0.86
Yes position
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.6%
- Current value
- $72.52
- Potential payout
- $412.02
- Potential profit
- $339.51
- Multiplier
- 5.68x
- User PnL
- $22.52
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.2%
- Current value
- $27.84
- Potential payout
- $386.65
- Potential profit
- $358.81
- Multiplier
- 13.89x
- User PnL
- -$72.16
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.7%
- Current value
- $46.63
- Potential payout
- $367.16
- Potential profit
- $320.53
- Multiplier
- 7.87x
- User PnL
- -$12.37
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $4.83
- Potential payout
- $357.6
- Potential profit
- $352.77
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$1.87
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $16.55
- Potential payout
- $260.65
- Potential profit
- $244.1
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- $1.55
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $121.59
- Potential payout
- $227.27
- Potential profit
- $105.68
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $21.59
Yes position
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $203.77
- Potential payout
- $217.93
- Potential profit
- $14.17
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $3.77
Yes position
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $105.92
- Potential payout
- $156.93
- Potential profit
- $51
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $5.92
No position
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $99.01
- Potential payout
- $140.44
- Potential profit
- $41.43
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
No position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $99.44
- Potential payout
- $128.31
- Potential profit
- $28.87
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Yes position
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $86.99
- Potential payout
- $110.12
- Potential profit
- $23.12
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$13.01
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $99.73
- Potential payout
- $109.65
- Potential profit
- $9.92
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $58.01
- Potential payout
- $64.1
- Potential profit
- $6.09
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $8.01
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 36%
- Current value
- $6.7
- Potential payout
- $18.6
- Potential profit
- $11.91
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.33
Yes position
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.44
No position
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $8.5
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.75
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 43% 18.6 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No 77.9% 128.31 shares
- Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?No 92.2% 117.64 shares
- Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?Yes 18% 5.56 shares
- Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?Yes 12.8% 39.03 shares
- Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?Yes 12% 33.33 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Yes 39% 25 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Yes 20% 25 shares
- Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.6% 833.33 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.2% 80.65 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.9% 263.16 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.1% 81.97 shares