No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.94
Polymarket Trader
s17shirley
0x927fcdf49b6f662da7200bb24ded03b162765069
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $56.5
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.77
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 76.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $6.96
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.23
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.94
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.77
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 76.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $6.96
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.23
Yes position
Will Alberta join the US?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Multiplier
- 28.17x
- User PnL
- $1.79
No position
Will Elon tweet less than 150 times August 22–August 29?
Ends Aug 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
No position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.15
No position
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Ends Dec 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will Mistral have a #1 AI model this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times March 14-21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
Will Trump issue an executive order on February 26?
Ends Feb 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Israel retaliates against Houthis in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Multiplier
- 8.37x
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 27% 190 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 27% 190 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 86% 190 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 88% 190 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 14% 225 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 15% 225 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?No 83% 204 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?No 83% 204 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 9% 129 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 9% 129 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 38% 5 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?No 98.7% 90.92 shares