Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $35.71
- Potential payout
- $7.14K
- Potential profit
- $7.11K
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$64.28
Polymarket Trader
Ashenpike
0x92906e28306fbbe1a5212661e578e719bd825d22
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $336.24
- Realized PnL
- $44.72
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $91.32
- Potential payout
- $869.7
- Potential profit
- $778.38
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$78.68
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $98.77
- Potential payout
- $448.95
- Potential profit
- $350.18
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$21.23
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $43.12
- Potential payout
- $187.47
- Potential profit
- $144.35
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- -$46.88
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $35.27
- Potential payout
- $82.98
- Potential profit
- $47.71
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$3.73
No position
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $32.06
- Potential payout
- $69.7
- Potential profit
- $37.64
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- $9.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.67
No position
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.9
No position
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.15
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $5.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31?No 33% 69.7 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No 8% 250 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?No 15.8% 126.37 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 78.3% 70.23 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?No 31% 258.06 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?No 31% 64.52 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No 20% 250 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No 49% 81.63 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No 29% 172.41 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No 75% 66.67 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes 47% 82.98 shares
- Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?No 72.9% 41.15 shares