Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $24.9K
- Potential payout
- $262.09K
- Potential profit
- $237.19K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$27.59K
Polymarket Trader
StefVie
@StefanGebh18223
0x9290cfdcff27056a27555d4b9c50c9edfb2bf429
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $26.73K
- Realized PnL
- -$1.37K
- Win rate
- 9.1%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $1.47K
- Potential payout
- $35.46K
- Potential profit
- $33.99K
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$2.87K
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $358.99
- Potential payout
- $2.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.69K
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$92.31
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$3.94
Yes position
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.4
Yes position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$10.96
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$26.81
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $120 before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$47.34
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$125
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$161.43
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$426.78
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$564.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 22% 51.36 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 17% 8,348.68 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 12% 272.71 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 12% 6,649.93 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 12% 14,968.94 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 22% 2,000 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 12% 1,770.83 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 12% 800 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 13% 97.36 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?Yes 2.1% 550.8 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 13% 1,600 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 12% 350 shares