No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $87.24
- Potential payout
- $88.88
- Potential profit
- $1.64
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.93
Polymarket Trader
decentril
0x92a036694cd8dc0c9099058f74b44bf107d8aefe
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $213.54
- Realized PnL
- $26.05
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
OpenAI acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.1%
- Current value
- $52.28
- Potential payout
- $56.19
- Potential profit
- $3.91
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $54.97
- Potential payout
- $54.99
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $3.27
No position
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $12.29
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $0.71
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $6.77
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.19
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.66
Yes position
Will a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will Pump.fun launch a token by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12
No position
Hyperliquid exploit before February?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
US government Bitcoin reserves in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
Ends Aug 9, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Trump ineligible to run for President?
Ends Nov 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will a Democrat win California Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by February 28, 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
TikTok sale announced by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Bybit insolvent in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Tether insolvent in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Diddy flee the US before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Kamala Harris drop out in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Trump resign in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- OpenAI acquired before 2027?No 93% 56.19 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No 97.1% 88.88 shares
- Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025?No 99.6% 5.19 shares
- Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 0.1% 3,680.84 shares
- Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No 94% 7 shares
- OpenAI acquired in 2025?No 99.9% 6.5 shares
- Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?No 89% 13 shares
- Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy in 2025?No 99.9% 7.7 shares
- Will Trump resign in 2025?No 99.6% 6 shares
- Bybit insolvent in 2025?No 99.7% 21 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No 99.8% 25 shares