Polymarket Trader

bgpadox

0x92b29e883aeb39020cd6e5e04adec6c3b2d231c9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.54K
Realized PnL: $1.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.3%
Current value: $1.84K
Potential payout: $10.04K
Potential profit: $8.2K
Multiplier: 5.46x
User PnL: -$110.41

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.1%
Current value: $936.55
Potential payout: $4.67K
Potential profit: $3.73K
Multiplier: 4.99x
User PnL: $160.56

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 37.9%
Current value: $1.62K
Potential payout: $4.27K
Potential profit: $2.65K
Multiplier: 2.64x
User PnL: $928.02

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.94K
Potential profit: $2.94K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.59K
Potential profit: $2.59K
User PnL: -$622.27

Norway position

Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.14K
Potential profit: $2.14K
User PnL: -$300

Argentina position

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $929.08
Potential profit: $929.08
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 22.1%
Current value: $149.28
Potential payout: $675.48
Potential profit: $526.2
Multiplier: 4.52x
User PnL: $49.28

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $245.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.61

Switzerland position

Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.5

Down position

Solana Up or Down - April 26, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.61

Up position

Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.06

Down position

Solana Up or Down - April 26, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

Norway 14% 2,139.3 shares
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

Norway 11.4% 479.04 shares
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

Norway 41.7% 479.04 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 23.5% 520.34 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 23.7% 1,263.16 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 24.7% 808.08 shares
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance

Switzerland 99.9% 111.11 shares
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance

Switzerland 45% 111.11 shares
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?

Yes 99% 56.17 shares
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?

Yes 89% 56.18 shares
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

Argentina 2.2% 929.08 shares
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.4% 2,941.18 shares