No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $90.83
- Potential payout
- $356.21
- Potential profit
- $265.38
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$64.51
Polymarket Trader
dash.eats
0x92bc5f76657790281a854af26e3a28f6548906bf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $798.14
- Realized PnL
- $1.41K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $220.36
- Potential payout
- $301.86
- Potential profit
- $81.5
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- -$34.7
N
No position
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $143.48
- Potential payout
- $212.57
- Potential profit
- $69.09
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $19.76
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $197.67
- Potential payout
- $200.17
- Potential profit
- $2.5
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.9
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $97.78
- Potential payout
- $100.24
- Potential profit
- $2.46
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $3.56
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $48.02
- Potential payout
- $50.2
- Potential profit
- $2.18
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $2.89
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $274.51
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.8
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.5
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.47
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $70
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $60
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.59
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.5
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.16
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.02
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.5
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.82
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.97
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.5
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.6
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.12
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.5
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.33
No position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?No 89.9% 50.2 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 33% 5 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 32% 51.39 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 32% 51.39 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 77% 50.46 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 31% 68.21 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No 56% 5 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No 65% 6.16 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No 65% 101.41 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 86% 50.28 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 86% 100.56 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 86% 100.56 shares