Polymarket Trader

axelg

0x92c26bce88c3009087c8da82854df4e7b696f3ae

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $68.57
Realized PnL: -$106.31
Win rate: 52.9%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 17
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $51.07
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $20.36
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $26.07

9z position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.88
Potential profit: $67.88
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.43
Potential profit: $21.43
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $1.9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.1
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $1.91
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $16.27
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.54
Potential profit: $11.54
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $1.9
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.1
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.7
Potential profit: $8.7
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $1.96
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $6.04
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $1.96
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $6.04
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $1.96
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $6.04
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $1.96
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $5.18
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $1.97
Potential payout: $6.45
Potential profit: $4.48
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$3

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.85

Yes position

Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $1.98
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $2.19
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.27

Yes position

Will Vitality win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.99

Yes position

Will ZKsync win 2025 Uniswap Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.02

Astralis position

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3)

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.78

No position

Half-Life 3 released in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.9

No position

Was Milei hacked?

Ends Feb 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.55

No position

Will J Balvin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.4

No position

Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.66

No position

Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.01

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.9

Yes position

Will ENS win 2025 Uniswap Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.98

FaZe position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$14

NIP position

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3)

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Was Trump hacked?

Ends Jan 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$200

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Yes 20% 10 shares
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?

Yes 25% 8 shares
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?

Yes 28% 7.14 shares
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?

Yes 48% 4.17 shares
Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?

Yes 25% 8 shares
Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?

Yes 10% 20 shares
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?

Yes 25% 8 shares
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Yes 31% 6.45 shares
Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?

Yes 11% 18.18 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 14% 21.43 shares
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 12% 41.67 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

No 26% 11.54 shares