Polymarket Trader

CapricornShura

0x92d9c3acf3aa099f72f96ea204e0a2e1e6274c5e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.61K
Realized PnL: $9.03K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.1K
Potential profit: $2.1K
User PnL: -$664.99

No position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: $99

No position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $895
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $105
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $105

Yes position

Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$83.83

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1K
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $152.32

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $990.49
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $9.5
User PnL: $183.18

Yes position

Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.98
Potential profit: $999.98
User PnL: -$130

Yes position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $678.71
Potential payout: $688.35
Potential profit: $9.64
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $43.37

No position

Will May 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $30
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will May 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $18.18
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.61K

Yes position

Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $660

No position

Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $480

No position

Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $467

Yes position

Bitcoin above $118,000 on July 28?

Ends Jul 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $450

Yes position

Will McLaren win the 2024 F1 Constructor’s Championship?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $373.45

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $371.88

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $267.89

Yes position

US recession in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $250

Yes position

Trump releases JFK files by Tuesday?

Ends Mar 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $238.54

No position

Will the CDU/CSU win between 32% and 34% of the vote in the German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202.55

Yes position

Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200

Yes position

Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $193.83

Yes position

Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.94

No position

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130

Yes position

Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120

No position

Will a cat 5 hurricane make US landfall during Hurricane Season 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.29

No position

Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be less than 1.0%?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.72

Yes position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.94

Yes position

Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Yes position

Will Paloma Valencia place 3rd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90

Yes position

Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?

Yes 92.3% 193 shares
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?

No 95% 303.06 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 80.7% 999.99 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 19% 999.98 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 41% 754.73 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 59% 1,000 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 84.8% 1,000 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 99% 298.89 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 3% 42.85 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 93% 85.08 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 80% 246.5 shares
Will Paloma Valencia place 3rd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 91% 189.99 shares