Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $4.73K
- Potential payout
- $22K
- Potential profit
- $17.27K
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$1.23K
Polymarket Trader
GrokEnjoyer
0x92e53057ef2872722a53fe807245bd387e1defee
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $89.34K
- Realized PnL
- $121.81K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $20.95K
- Potential payout
- $21.01K
- Potential profit
- $52.52
- User PnL
- $10.34K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $13.5K
- Potential payout
- $13.55K
- Potential profit
- $47.42
- User PnL
- $4.11K
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $10.34K
- Potential payout
- $12.61K
- Potential profit
- $2.27K
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $2.71K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $12.01K
- Potential payout
- $12.04K
- Potential profit
- $30.1
- User PnL
- $336.95
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $5.54K
- Potential payout
- $6.12K
- Potential profit
- $581.03
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.32K
No position
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $4.61K
- Potential payout
- $4.93K
- Potential profit
- $320.64
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $187.86
Yes position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $627.09
- Potential payout
- $4.65K
- Potential profit
- $4.02K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$534.19
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.44K
- Potential profit
- $4.44K
- User PnL
- -$1.21K
No position
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.8%
- Current value
- $2.45K
- Potential payout
- $2.72K
- Potential profit
- $279.29
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$25.9
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $2.14K
- Potential payout
- $2.44K
- Potential profit
- $305.5
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $425.48
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $1.26K
- Potential payout
- $2.44K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $216.65
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $127.61
- Potential payout
- $2.43K
- Potential profit
- $2.3K
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- -$556.82
Yes position
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.17
- Potential payout
- $2.35K
- Potential profit
- $2.34K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$62.31
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $1.29K
- Potential payout
- $2.33K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$119.32
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $1.89K
- Potential payout
- $2.27K
- Potential profit
- $374.02
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$11.33
No position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $2.21K
- Potential payout
- $2.24K
- Potential profit
- $26.84
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $530.26
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $4.44
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $2.22K
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$639.94
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $2.22K
- User PnL
- -$1.44K
No position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $299.97
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $1.92K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$255.53
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $966.53
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $1.26K
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $22.2
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $2.2K
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $25.55
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $129.97
No position
Weed rescheduled by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $2.19K
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $28.87
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $442.98
Yes position
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $2.12K
- Potential profit
- $2.12K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$28.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $28.5K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.75K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.19K
No position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.89K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.55K
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $6.32K
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.17K
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.49K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.29K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.98K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.41K
Yes position
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.01K
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.78K
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- $2.56K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55K
Yes position
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.49K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47K
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.31K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.29K
Yes position
Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19K
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.18K
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.17K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 64% 119.75 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 20% 11,111 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 97.8% 84.34 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 94.7% 8,059.98 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 6% 5,142.5 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 6.4% 5,071.81 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 6.3% 5,173.52 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 26.6% 400 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 26.7% 2,222 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 27.1% 8,115.1 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 29.7% 920.84 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 35.5% 299.82 shares