Polymarket Trader

0x92f0c4FB00FAAc584476fbbb41681e4270D60451-1780435656282

0x92f0c4fb00faac584476fbbb41681e4270d60451

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $355.97
Realized PnL: $346.5
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $115.52
Potential payout: $117.34
Potential profit: $1.82
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $6.39

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $43.63
Potential payout: $89.97
Potential profit: $46.33
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $5.55

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $21.3
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $38.7
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $5.7

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $10.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $39.75
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$7.25

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $10.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $39.25
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $48.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $1.75
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $23.8
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $16.2
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $25.95
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $4.05
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $16.35
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $13.65
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.6%
Current value: $19.11
Potential payout: $19.99
Potential profit: $0.88
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $4.00 on June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $11.3
Potential payout: $13.95
Potential profit: $2.65
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$0.7

No position

Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $9.76
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.24
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.26

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.7

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.2

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.8

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.51

Yes position

Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.66

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.6

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.66

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.73

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

Yes position

Will Bahrain vs. Syria end in a draw?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.07

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.1

No position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.85

Yes position

Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.02

Yes position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $2.7

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: $2.6

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.39

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28

Yes position

Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $1

No position

Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

Yes position

Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?

Yes 40% 7.5 shares
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on June 30, 2026?

No 94% 10 shares
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $4.00 on June 30, 2026?

Yes 86% 8.95 shares
Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 3 Brazil?

Yes 96% 20 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 99% 203 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 91% 30 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

Yes 35% 50 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

No 67% 20 shares
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?

No 97.2% 57.34 shares
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

No 99.3% 400 shares
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

Yes 83% 277.73 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 99.8% 542.63 shares