Polymarket Trader

mikevandyke

0x92f20104b8931f5ea6182bf94047b6765a3213f7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $55.38
Realized PnL: -$3.7
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.66
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $119.34
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $6.09
Potential payout: $93.64
Potential profit: $87.55
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$3.91

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.6%
Current value: $11.13
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $48.87
Multiplier: 5.39x
User PnL: $1.53

Yes position

Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $59.99
Potential profit: $52.5
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$2.7

Yes position

Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$1.16

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$5.4

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $20
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $7.6

Yes position

Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$12.6

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 5?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2.95

No position

Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by February 14, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1.7

Yes position

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$3.4

Patriots position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.63
Potential profit: $15.63
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $5.2

Yes position

Will Liverpool FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-01?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Trump sue Trevor Noah by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.2

Yes position

Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-03?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.2

Yes position

Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.8

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$21

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?

Yes 2.9% 40 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Yes 48% 10 shares
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Yes 18% 30 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Yes 62% 20 shares
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Yes 4.3% 120 shares
Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by February 14, 2026?

No 8.5% 20 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 5?

Yes 14.8% 20 shares
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026

Yes 63% 20 shares
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

Yes 17% 20 shares
Will Trump sue Trevor Noah by March 31?

Yes 13% 10 shares
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Yes 15% 10 shares
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-03?

Yes 38% 10 shares