Polymarket Trader

KrakenTrader

0x92f7174ffd6ac6c087b7c0b3c3ef05a6038447dc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $33.25
Realized PnL: $406.04
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $33.25
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $316.75
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$114.45

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $194
Potential profit: $194
User PnL: -$159.81

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $148.55

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $40.33

No position

Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.42

Yes position

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.45

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.94

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.77

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.76

No position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.46

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.5

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.4

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.15

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.98

No position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9

No position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.81

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.77

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.4

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.16

No position

Will "Scream 7" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?

No 35% 20.19 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?

No 71% 70 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

No 61% 329 shares
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

No 62% 0.18 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

No 74.5% 68 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?

No 62% 30 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

No 48% 406.98 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

No 78.4% 73 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

No 70% 70 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

No 62.6% 79.86 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

No 81.7% 122.35 shares
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

No 94.9% 200 shares