Flyers position
Flyers vs. Penguins
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.48
- Potential profit
- $31.48
- User PnL
- -$14.48
Polymarket Trader
Umbraee
0x92fe104fe72ffeeb597abab69bbf4ccc1249c6a6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $23.36
- Realized PnL
- $4.41
- Win rate
- 92.3%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $23.36
- Potential payout
- $23.66
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.36
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 January 26-1?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.04
- Potential profit
- $2.04
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.79
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Malachy Steenson win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?No 93% 23.66 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 6?Yes 99.7% 13.04 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 6?Yes 74.2% 10.79 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6?Yes 10% 20 shares
- Will Malachy Steenson win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?No 99.9% 24.02 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?No 98.8% 24.51 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?No 97.9% 24.51 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?Yes 95% 24.21 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 93% 25.26 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 95% 25.26 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 94% 25.53 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 94% 25.53 shares