Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.8%
- Current value
- $1.94K
- Potential payout
- $5.13K
- Potential profit
- $3.2K
- Multiplier
- 2.65x
- User PnL
- -$1.09K
Polymarket Trader
MortWalker
0x9305c84154dae3aa4bec0506ce4bbf726498e605
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.71K
- Realized PnL
- $10.15K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $1.72K
- Potential payout
- $1.81K
- Potential profit
- $83.13
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $115.65
No position
Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $15.99
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Jack Lowdon announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $15.99
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Pierce Brosnan announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $14.99
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-09-06?
Ends Sep 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94K
No position
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.93K
No position
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $828.53
Yes position
Will North Macedonia win on 2025-09-07?
Ends Sep 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $684.12
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2025-09-07?
Ends Sep 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $623.85
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $614
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $518.59
Yes position
Will Georgia win on 2025-09-07?
Ends Sep 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $438.21
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $368.93
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $360
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $242.64
No position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $191.27
No position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189.42
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $167.41
No position
NYC Election: Sliwa drops out and Cuomo wins?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.47
No position
Russian strike on Poland by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.26
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.51
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.16
No position
Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?
Ends Aug 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $96.3
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by September 22?
Ends Sep 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.08
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.71
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.87
No position
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.16
Yes position
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- $80.34
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 83% 1,300 shares
- Will Caroline Woodley win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election?No 97.4% 70.96 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 23% 200 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 75% 200 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 23% 400 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 75% 400 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 23% 56 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 75% 600 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 23% 600 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 75% 1,200 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 23% 1,200 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 75% 56 shares