Polymarket Trader

RetoSchabloni

0x9312b8c4748a5387858d7e19feca87b83b31a285

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $283.72
Realized PnL: $375.81
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $14
Potential payout: $28K
Potential profit: $27.99K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$14

No position

Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.33K
Potential profit: $12.33K
User PnL: -$28.97

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $176.26
Potential payout: $8.24K
Potential profit: $8.06K
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: $87.04

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$3

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$3

No position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $52.5
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $647.5
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$52.36

No position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.15
Potential profit: $67.15
User PnL: -$19

Yes position

Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $7.88
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $30.58
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$2.12

Yes position

Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$5

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.43
Potential profit: $21.43
User PnL: -$6

No position

DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $20.83
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.47
Potential profit: $19.47
User PnL: -$4.67

No position

UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.71
Potential profit: $14.71
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.27
Potential profit: $13.27
User PnL: -$6.9

No position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $9.94
Potential payout: $12.82
Potential profit: $2.88
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.68
Potential profit: $12.68
User PnL: -$5.2

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.87
Potential profit: $10.87
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-02?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.2
Potential profit: $10.2
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $7.75
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $2.25
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $2.75

Yes position

Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.43
Potential profit: $9.43
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $4.96
Potential payout: $8.06
Potential profit: $3.1
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 61.6%
Current value: $4.73
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $2.96
Multiplier: 1.62x
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $5.69
Potential payout: $7.25
Potential profit: $1.56
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $0.69

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Major cyberattack on Iran in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $204.08

No position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.27

Yes position

Will Switzerland reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.26

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5AM ET

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.33

Canucks position

Canucks vs. Blackhawks

Ends Oct 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.59

No position

U.S. strike on Somalia by March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.69

Lions position

Buccaneers vs. Lions

Ends Oct 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.78

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.48

Yes position

Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC end in a draw?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.11

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.79

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 12PM ET

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.45

Eagles position

Eagles vs. Vikings

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.14

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 41.0 on March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will Constellation Brands (STZ) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.85

No position

Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.63

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8AM ET

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.57

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

No 0.1% 5,000 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

No 0.1% 5,000 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

No 78% 12.82 shares
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Yes 26% 38.46 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

No 0.1% 8,000 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

No 0.1% 10,000 shares
France vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5 AND France vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 4.5 Corners AND France vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners AND France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners AND Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Morocco?

39.8% 24.68 shares
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.2% 3,046.41 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Yes 62% 8.06 shares
Will Switzerland reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 43% 23.26 shares
Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advance AND Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance AND Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5 AND Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5

47.5% 4.12 shares
England vs. DR Congo: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

No 89% 1.12 shares