Polymarket Trader

0x931f3b1525A840cB9e080dBCB9a4b1cCE158e4D3-1773993657996

0x931f3b1525a840cb9e080dbcb9a4b1cce158e4d3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $857.92
Realized PnL: $475.61
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Under position

Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $148.73
Potential payout: $254.24
Potential profit: $105.51
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$1.27

Spain position

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $149.03
Potential payout: $194.81
Potential profit: $45.78
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$0.97

Belgium position

Spread: Belgium (-1.5)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $79.09
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $102.73
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$0.91

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $89.35
Potential payout: $130.43
Potential profit: $41.09
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: -$0.65

Yes position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $14.71
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $102.94
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$5.29

Cabo Verde position

Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $69.43
Potential payout: $114.75
Potential profit: $45.33
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 17.7%
Current value: $18
Potential payout: $101.98
Potential profit: $83.98
Multiplier: 5.67x
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 86.4%
Current value: $74.06
Potential payout: $85.76
Potential profit: $11.71
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $2.19

Over position

Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $39.63
Potential payout: $74.07
Potential profit: $34.44
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$0.37

Spain position

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $39.65
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $31.79
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 37.4%
Current value: $18.99
Potential payout: $50.79
Potential profit: $31.79
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$1.01

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 80.3%
Current value: $26.91
Potential payout: $33.53
Potential profit: $6.62
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: -$1.22

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $22.75
Potential payout: $28.99
Potential profit: $6.23
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $2.75

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $27.46
Potential payout: $27.47
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $7.46

No position

Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $19.05
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $7.97
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: -$0.95

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $21.1
Potential payout: $24.39
Potential profit: $3.29
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $1.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.79

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.47

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.35

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)

Cabo Verde 61% 114.75 shares
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5

Under 59% 254.24 shares
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)

Belgium 44% 181.82 shares
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5

Over 54% 74.07 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 69% 130.43 shares
Spread: Spain (-2.5)

Spain 56% 71.43 shares
Spread: Spain (-1.5)

Spain 77% 194.81 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 89% 33.7 shares
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5

Over 51% 120 shares
Spread: Spain (-2.5)

Spain 55% 214.28 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 89% 33.71 shares
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5

Over 50% 120 shares