Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in February 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.87K
- Potential profit
- $18.87K
- User PnL
- -$2.18K
Polymarket Trader
zugzwaaang
0x93222fb1df4aa83497b92beb1c7af2f1bd039739
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.77K
- Realized PnL
- $835.25
- Win rate
- 60.9%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $413.9
- Potential payout
- $12.74K
- Potential profit
- $12.32K
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- -$197.63
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.44K
- Potential profit
- $7.44K
- User PnL
- -$1.08K
Yes position
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $47.39
- Potential payout
- $7.29K
- Potential profit
- $7.24K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$83.49
Yes position
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $117.9
- Potential payout
- $3.52K
- Potential profit
- $3.4K
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- -$790.11
Yes position
Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.18K
- Potential profit
- $3.18K
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.52K
- Potential profit
- $2.52K
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will January 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.39K
- Potential profit
- $2.39K
- User PnL
- -$67.75
Yes position
Will January 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.13K
- Potential profit
- $2.13K
- User PnL
- -$81.03
Yes position
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.1K
- Potential profit
- $2.1K
- User PnL
- -$600
Yes position
Will January 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.98K
- Potential profit
- $1.98K
- User PnL
- -$217.21
Yes position
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $1.1K
- Potential payout
- $1.58K
- Potential profit
- $481.75
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $434.07
Yes position
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $30.96
- Potential payout
- $1.47K
- Potential profit
- $1.44K
- Multiplier
- 47.62x
- User PnL
- -$44.31
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $54.88
- Potential payout
- $1.18K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- Multiplier
- 21.51x
- User PnL
- $18.55
No position
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $733.15
- Potential payout
- $946
- Potential profit
- $212.85
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$77.94
Yes position
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $60.29
- Potential payout
- $803.89
- Potential profit
- $743.6
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$52.32
No position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $212.95
- Potential payout
- $285.84
- Potential profit
- $72.89
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $7.95
No position
Will January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $267.28
- Potential profit
- $267.28
- User PnL
- -$77.65
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $248.12
- Potential profit
- $248.12
- User PnL
- -$34.23
Yes position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.89
- Potential profit
- $76.89
- User PnL
- -$1.73
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.31K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $340.92
No position
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $258.71
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.27
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in January 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175.44
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $119.45
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.18
Yes position
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.27
No position
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in January 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.16
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in February 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.07
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.72
No position
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.22
No position
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $11.71
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in January 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$10.82
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$44.55
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$123.23
No position
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$224.57
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in January 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$244.27
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in February 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$266.43
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$550.12
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$610.55
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$878.65
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 3.3% 2,000 shares
- Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 3.3% 2,000 shares
- Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 3.3% 5,000 shares
- Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?Yes 74% 270.27 shares
- Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?No 27% 141.11 shares
- Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?Yes 28.2% 1,418.72 shares
- Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?Yes 29.5% 678.31 shares
- Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?Yes 5% 4,000 shares
- Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?Yes 7.9% 2,516.9 shares
- Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?Yes 6.3% 3,175.82 shares
- Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?No 49% 1,020.41 shares
- Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?Yes 12.8% 32 shares