Yes position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $3.38K
- Potential payout
- $32.2K
- Potential profit
- $28.82K
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $76.83
Polymarket Trader
TreepleA
0x932fbc8aafd762ba7f4bde8a9fa485bf58ce2cd8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.32K
- Realized PnL
- $2.21K
- Win rate
- 45.8%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $866.16
- Potential payout
- $6.42K
- Potential profit
- $5.55K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$592.77
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $1.16K
- Potential payout
- $6.29K
- Potential profit
- $5.12K
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $216.09
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: Other
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $39.1
- Potential payout
- $5.21K
- Potential profit
- $5.17K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $22.18
- Potential payout
- $4.44K
- Potential profit
- $4.41K
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$257.05
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.18K
- Potential profit
- $4.18K
- User PnL
- -$320.15
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $11.8
- Potential payout
- $3.93K
- Potential profit
- $3.92K
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$178.49
Yes position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $28.99
- Potential payout
- $3.87K
- Potential profit
- $3.84K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$397.52
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $614.65
- Potential payout
- $3.15K
- Potential profit
- $2.54K
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $54.66
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.01K
- Potential profit
- $3.01K
- User PnL
- -$1.01K
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.34K
- Potential profit
- $2.34K
- User PnL
- -$21.03
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $10.1
- Potential payout
- $2.24K
- Potential profit
- $2.23K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$189.9
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $156.25
- Potential payout
- $2.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.93K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$93.75
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $1.66K
- Potential payout
- $2.06K
- Potential profit
- $402.15
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $986.71
Yes position
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $109.22
- Potential payout
- $1.21K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$224.86
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $1.14K
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.8%
- Current value
- $70.97
- Potential payout
- $811.04
- Potential profit
- $740.07
- Multiplier
- 11.43x
- User PnL
- -$129.03
Yes position
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $40.72
- Potential payout
- $508.95
- Potential profit
- $468.24
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$59.28
Yes position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.6%
- Current value
- $35.27
- Potential payout
- $467.16
- Potential profit
- $431.89
- Multiplier
- 13.25x
- User PnL
- -$14.73
Yes position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $41.63
- Potential payout
- $438.21
- Potential profit
- $396.58
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$41.63
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $416.67
- Potential profit
- $416.67
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $50.3
- Potential payout
- $346.89
- Potential profit
- $296.59
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$49.7
Yes position
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Current value
- $11.86
- Potential payout
- $249.63
- Potential profit
- $237.78
- Multiplier
- 21.05x
- User PnL
- -$8.14
Yes position
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $2.85
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $97.15
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- -$7.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $469.23
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $367.2
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $333.48
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $310.41
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $262.07
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $258.74
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.74
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.42
Yes position
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.63
Yes position
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 8 be between 70 and 80?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
Yes position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $1
Y
Yes position
Will Doug Mastriano win the 2026 Pennsylvania Governor Republican primary election?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Y
Yes position
Will John Ventre win the 2026 Pennsylvania Governor Republican primary election?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will gas hit (High) $4.75 by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.57
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during CNBC: Squawk Box appearance on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.87
Yes position
Will a hurricane form by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.86
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Yes 19% 438.21 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes 3.5% 1,137.91 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes 7.7% 4,175.75 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 94% 488.02 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 17% 1,523.24 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.9% 2,336.67 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Yes 3% 3,382.18 shares
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?Yes 4.7% 2,147.28 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 17% 1,764.71 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: OtherYes 1.1% 2,052.73 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?Yes 0.2% 759.49 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?Yes 0.3% 909.31 shares