Qatar position
Spread: Canada (-2.5)
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
0x9337Cdc9c80d66d29836cF8f3100fA9707b04A6D-1732216430904
0x9337cdc9c80d66d29836cf8f3100fa9707b04a6d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $45.59
- Realized PnL
- $361.94
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $499.25
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $378.79
- Potential profit
- $378.79
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $2.17
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $331.17
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Yes position
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $332.33
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.7%
- Current value
- $32.59
- Potential payout
- $306.01
- Potential profit
- $273.42
- Multiplier
- 9.39x
- User PnL
- $22.59
Yes position
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $1.47
- Potential payout
- $268
- Potential profit
- $266.53
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$2.53
Yes position
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.63
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $249.38
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.73
- Potential payout
- $209.03
- Potential profit
- $208.3
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $176.33
- Potential profit
- $176.33
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $151.11
- Potential profit
- $151.11
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.93
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $141.93
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: Elon Edition
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $118.09
- Potential profit
- $118.09
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.61
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $110.5
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
Yes position
Will Ilhan Omar be charged with fraud?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100.27
- Potential profit
- $100.27
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $1.65
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $98.35
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $87.92
- Potential profit
- $87.92
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $1.11
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $70.32
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $0.89
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $70.54
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $69.84
- Potential profit
- $69.84
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $1.07
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $65.6
- Multiplier
- 62.50x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $197
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.85
No position
Will Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.33
England position
Spread: England (-1.5)
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.68
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.27
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.71
Yes position
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?Yes 9% 11.11 shares
- Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?Yes 7% 14.29 shares
- Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?Yes 12% 8.33 shares
- Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?Yes 9% 11.11 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?Yes 3.9% 25.64 shares
- Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?Yes 4% 25 shares
- Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?Yes 16% 6.25 shares
- Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?Yes 8.3% 12.05 shares
- Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?Yes 3.8% 26.32 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes 3.5% 28.57 shares
- Will Qatar sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?Yes 13% 15.38 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 1.4% 71.43 shares