Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $213.81
- Potential payout
- $2.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.82K
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$536.19
Polymarket Trader
0x933c75ec4aF87D3Db051E3CFDa5A0ee5C24aB820-1772744284170
0x933c75ec4af87d3db051e3cfda5a0ee5c24ab820
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.54K
- Realized PnL
- $725.07
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $1.19K
- Potential payout
- $1.66K
- Potential profit
- $464.55
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $464.55
Yes position
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $56.52
- Potential payout
- $434.74
- Potential profit
- $378.23
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$58.85
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $382.72
- Potential profit
- $382.72
- User PnL
- -$250
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $302.44
- Potential profit
- $302.44
- User PnL
- -$124
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $222.42
- Potential profit
- $222.42
- User PnL
- -$11.79
No position
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 17-23?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.48
- Potential profit
- $199.48
- User PnL
- -$30
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $153.95
- Potential profit
- $153.95
- User PnL
- -$26.59
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.93
- Potential payout
- $116.26
- Potential profit
- $115.33
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$39.07
No position
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $73.93
- Potential payout
- $106.38
- Potential profit
- $32.46
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $23.93
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $95.29
- Potential profit
- $95.29
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $250 end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $91.19
- Potential profit
- $91.19
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.63
- Potential profit
- $76.63
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $69.33
- Potential profit
- $69.33
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.25
- Potential profit
- $10.25
- User PnL
- -$4.92
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189.74
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $78.52
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.22
No position
Will Google reach $320 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.22
Yes position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $52.77
No position
GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.76
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.69
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $29.58
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 March 16-22?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.21
Yes position
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.3
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.29
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.65
Yes position
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $240 end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.01
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.49
Yes position
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.05
No position
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $270 end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.67
Yes position
Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.73
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $7.5
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4
Yes position
Will Trump say "Operation Epic Fury" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.34
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes 41% 34.15 shares
- Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes 41% 268.29 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 69.4% 185.18 shares
- Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?Yes 26.5% 434.74 shares
- Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Yes 44% 977.27 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 38.8% 1,419.09 shares
- Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes 61.6% 735.49 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 92% 602.4 shares
- Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Yes 44% 681.82 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 32.4% 617.15 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 92% 140.84 shares
- OpenAI IPO before 2027?Yes 30.7% 822.39 shares