Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.97K
- Potential profit
- $52.97K
- User PnL
- -$746.12
Polymarket Trader
hazardfree
0x933f8e2ff775b9b195ac36c3b96b0b557aaad300
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $28.08K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.57K
- Potential profit
- $31.57K
- User PnL
- -$199.98
Yes position
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.44K
- Potential profit
- $23.44K
- User PnL
- -$158.99
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.32K
- Potential profit
- $19.32K
- User PnL
- -$468.48
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.73K
- Potential profit
- $17.73K
- User PnL
- -$404.99
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.22K
- Potential profit
- $13.22K
- User PnL
- -$3.94K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.03K
- Potential profit
- $10.03K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.81K
- Potential profit
- $9.81K
- User PnL
- -$1.57K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.88K
- Potential profit
- $6.88K
- User PnL
- -$404.99
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on November 20?
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.71K
- Potential profit
- $5.71K
- User PnL
- -$523.06
Yes position
Villarreal CF vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.12K
- Potential profit
- $5.12K
- User PnL
- -$2.34K
No position
Over $1.3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.67K
- Potential profit
- $4.67K
- User PnL
- -$1.37K
Yes position
Will Trump say “F-35” this week? (November 10 - 16)
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.59K
- Potential profit
- $3.59K
- User PnL
- -$80.37
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.56K
- Potential profit
- $3.56K
- User PnL
- -$1.21K
No position
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.31K
- Potential profit
- $3.31K
- User PnL
- -$99.19
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.29K
- Potential profit
- $3.29K
- User PnL
- -$120
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.29K
- Potential profit
- $3.29K
- User PnL
- -$425.8
Yes position
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.23K
- Potential profit
- $3.23K
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$510
Yes position
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by December 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.92K
- Potential profit
- $2.92K
- User PnL
- -$381.36
No position
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $2.22K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.43K
No position
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.78K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1K
No position
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8K
Yes position
Will Trump sue the BBC?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
No position
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 20?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
Yes position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $936
Yes position
Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $521.5
No position
Over $5M committed to the Makina public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $485.58
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $463.9
No position
Over $275M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $381.86
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $346.66
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $317.85
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $285.28
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $266.15
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 20?
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $256.73
Yes position
Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.32
Yes position
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200
No position
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.13
No position
Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.78
Yes position
Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for less than 2 seconds on November 21 2025?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.38
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on November 20?
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $136.58
Yes position
More EU sanctions on Russia by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.3
Yes position
Will "Rental Family" score at least 87 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends Nov 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No 2.4% 2,353.56 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No 2.5% 2,000 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No 2.5% 7,417.94 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No 2.4% 2,000 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No 11% 1,000 shares
- Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?Yes 16% 9,814.64 shares
- Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?Yes 34% 3,494.25 shares
- Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?No 9% 1,111.04 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?Yes 99.6% 620.79 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No 80% 200 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes 97.8% 5,208.65 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes 21% 808.73 shares