Yes position
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $83.58
- Potential payout
- $1.61K
- Potential profit
- $1.52K
- Multiplier
- 19.23x
- User PnL
- -$66.42
Polymarket Trader
Demonteg0
0x9343303d8a5bafdfbc83b75291aaf1772aab75f7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $550.7
- Realized PnL
- $1.84K
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.4%
- Current value
- $467.12
- Potential payout
- $517.01
- Potential profit
- $49.89
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $67.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $638.31
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210.91
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170.26
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.28
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.87
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.5
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $102.09
No position
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.7
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $55.44
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.02
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $35.96
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by 3.7% in April?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $34.88
No position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.97
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.09
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.74
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.77
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.31
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$18.71
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by 3.6% in April?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20.88
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes 97.1% 72.99 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes 97.2% 100 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes 97.3% 400 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 77.5% 258.07 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 77.2% 258.94 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes 69.8% 573 shares
- Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?No 0.3% 115.8 shares
- Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?Yes 0.4% 316 shares
- Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?No 0.6% 394.86 shares
- Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?No 19.6% 510.67 shares
- Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?Yes 9.5% 316 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes 64% 312.5 shares