Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $946.56
- Potential payout
- $958.54
- Potential profit
- $11.98
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Polymarket Trader
NotDyingToday
0x93436c5c424d3687a25dc483a47d7ed7a0068fd4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.59K
- Realized PnL
- $2.39K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $578.6
- Potential payout
- $692.94
- Potential profit
- $114.34
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $10.9
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $514.52
- Potential payout
- $581.38
- Potential profit
- $66.86
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $14.53
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $409.73
- Potential payout
- $417.03
- Potential profit
- $7.3
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $11.11
No position
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $293.82
- Potential payout
- $369.58
- Potential profit
- $75.76
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $3.49
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $319.18
- Potential payout
- $360.65
- Potential profit
- $41.47
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $51.5
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $230.29
- Potential payout
- $232.15
- Potential profit
- $1.86
- User PnL
- $7.25
No position
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $133.34
- Potential payout
- $140.28
- Potential profit
- $6.94
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $6.94
No position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $67.08
- Potential payout
- $79.86
- Potential profit
- $12.78
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Netanyahu out by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $48.66
- Potential payout
- $49
- Potential profit
- $0.34
- User PnL
- $1.62
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $47.45
- Potential payout
- $48
- Potential profit
- $0.55
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $5.38
- Potential payout
- $5.55
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $432.06
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $254.9
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $235.65
No position
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.1
No position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.19
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.04
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.78
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.02
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $87.57
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80
No position
Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.8
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.59
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.91
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.58
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.56
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.31
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.12
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.96
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.61
Yes position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $42.06
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.8
No position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.35
No position
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 28?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.96
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.97
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 98.3% 44.33 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 98.3% 44.33 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 98.3% 14.94 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 98.3% 7 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 98.3% 36.25 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 98.3% 7.03 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 86% 290.69 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 86% 290.69 shares
- Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 98.7% 204.16 shares
- Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 98.6% 5.9 shares
- Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 98.8% 45.55 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 94% 263.15 shares