curlyguy

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $10.06K
Potential payout: $52K
Potential profit: $41.94K
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $1.11K

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $5.01K
Potential payout: $47.5K
Potential profit: $42.49K
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: -$315.16

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $6.23K
Potential payout: $45K
Potential profit: $38.77K
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$1.06K

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $2.32K
Potential payout: $42.5K
Potential profit: $40.18K
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: -$991.1

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 7.9%
Current value: $2.75K
Potential payout: $35K
Potential profit: $32.25K
Multiplier: 12.74x
User PnL: -$962.36

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $1.84K
Potential payout: $35K
Potential profit: $33.16K
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: -$4.9

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 15.3%
Current value: $4.96K
Potential payout: $32.5K
Potential profit: $27.54K
Multiplier: 6.56x
User PnL: $2.07K

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $854.7
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.15K
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $126.92

Yes position

Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $1.59K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $410
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $160

Yes position

Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $1.71K
Potential payout: $1.98K
Potential profit: $267.13
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $90.29

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.87K
Potential profit: $1.87K
User PnL: -$775

Over position

New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.7K
User PnL: -$152.99

Yes position

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $68.25
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $981.75
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$131.25

Yes position

Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $890.83
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $139.03
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $77.54

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $534.48
Potential payout: $999.97
Potential profit: $465.49
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $11.5

Yes position

Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $658.73
Potential payout: $849.98
Potential profit: $191.24
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $233.24

Over position

Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$400

Yes position

Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $401.25
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $348.75
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$66.25

Yes position

Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Canada?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$102

No position

Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $404.25
Potential payout: $550
Potential profit: $145.75
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$41.25

Norway position

Spread: Norway (-1.5)

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$105

Over position

France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$260

England position

Spread: England (-1.5)

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $330
Potential profit: $330
User PnL: -$204.6

Over position

England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $330
Potential profit: $330
User PnL: -$201.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.74K

No position

Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26K

Alcaraz position

Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94K

No position

VOOI FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43K

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $900

No position

Paradex FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $857.12

Elina Svitolina position

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $789.92

Sinner position

Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Shelton (+2.5)

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $759.61

Yes position

MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $642.2

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $638

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $602.02

Yes position

Owlto FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $522.86

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $503

No position

Paradex FDV above $750M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $483.42

Yes position

Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-04-09?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $468

No position

Brevis FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $430.11

Marta Kostyuk position

Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyuk

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $388.99

No position

Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?