Polymarket Trader

nasrapper

0x936185b40ccf1a0edce196552751047fc0f69c2b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $791.27
Realized PnL: $2.95K
Win rate: 65%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $366.4
Potential payout: $388.35
Potential profit: $21.94
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $66.4

No position

Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $314.14
Potential payout: $341.45
Potential profit: $27.32
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $14.14

No position

Ventuals FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $105.19
Potential payout: $110.67
Potential profit: $5.48
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $5.19

Yes position

Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $5.54
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $30.18
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$8.75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Spirit position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.76K

Yes position

Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.28

No position

Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.67

Usyk position

Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2

Ends Jul 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.82

No position

Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.23

No position

Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.94

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.74

No position

Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Yes position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.89

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.72

Yes position

USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.04

No position

Will Rabby launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.76

No position

Kraken IPO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.41

Spirit position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.47

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$4.02

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$20.11

Yes position

Will the HBO documentary identify David Kleiman as Satoshi?

Ends Oct 15, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$91.35

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 34%
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: -$161.36

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$300

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Spirit 68% 1,322.63 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winner

Spirit 68.9% 1,450.53 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Spirit 53.2% 3,762.65 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winner

Spirit 70% 2,857.14 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Spirit 62% 3,225.81 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winner

Spirit 58% 3,448.28 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 77.3% 388.35 shares
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?

No 42.3% 799.66 shares
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Yes 99.7% 224.71 shares
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?

No 62.5% 799.67 shares
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?

No 99.9% 617.28 shares
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?

No 87.9% 341.45 shares