Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $143.15
- Potential payout
- $159.94
- Potential profit
- $16.79
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Polymarket Trader
naomo
0x93785ab88d7dbd6d737680da18debe5a9458f90b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $143.15
- Realized PnL
- $46.85
- Win rate
- 88.2%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.98
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.55
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.81
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.76
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.71
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.76
Yes position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.46
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Will Base launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 91% 159.94 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 97.5% 150.28 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 93% 150.28 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 99.3% 140.74 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 94.8% 47.74 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 91% 129.06 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 82% 123.08 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 89% 123.08 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 99.7% 111.13 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 98.8% 111.58 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No 82% 20 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 98.1% 95.21 shares